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Sun, Silicon, and Xinjiang
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Sun, Silicon, and Xinjiang

Solar Power Masterclass

This week, we talk solar power—a long overdue topic on Decouple. In the past, guests have often been critical of the value of renewables on grids without extensive storage, and of the quality of jobs that politicians often claim when justifying renewables programs. Today, however, we drop preconceptions and get to the nuts and bolts. My guest is Seaver Wang, director of the Climate and Energy Research Program at The Breakthrough Institute. Despite is imperfections, the solar power has a remarkable story, from its technological origins, to its dramatic cost reductions in the last decade, to the sheer scale of new capacity being added in places like China. We cover these topics and more in this episode: the Solar Masterclass.

Watch now on YouTube.

We talk about

  • Historical roots and evolution of solar technology

  • Impact of the German Energiewende and feed-in tariffs

  • China's rise to dominance in solar manufacturing

  • Energy-intensive production processes of polysilicon

  • Controversy over Uyghur forced labor in Xinjiang

  • Solar’s lifecycle emissions and environmental impacts

  • Dramatic cost reductions and economies of scale

  • Limitations and misconceptions in distributed solar

  • Future integration with battery storage

  • Role of geopolitical and ethical issues in solar supply chains

Deeper Dive

Solar cells began in American laboratories, at first a mere scientific curiosity. Its first practical form emerged at Bell Labs, where silicon solar cells achieved a then-astonishing 6% efficiency. One of the first notable uses were to power satellites when oil prices surged in the 1970s. Though American innovation laid the groundwork, solar’s true revolution began later, in Germany. Through generous feed-in tariffs, Germany ignited a global solar industry, attracting massive Chinese investment and scale.

“The world ought to thank Germany for the Energiewende, for being basically the early mass buyer of solar panels.” – Seaver Wang

China’s entry transformed solar from a niche technology to a global commodity. To do so has required massive amounts of energy. Polysilicon production, for instance, takes up to five times more electricity per ton than aluminum smelting, which itself is sometimes called “congealed electricity” for its high power requirements. Much of this energy comes from coal-fired power plants in Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia, where satellite imagery shows colossal coal mines directly feeding solar factories.

green grass field under white sky during daytime
Coal smokestacks visible in rural China. Photo by Ahmad Faiz.

Xinjiang’s involvement, however, brings darker issues to the forefront. Credible reports reveal that Uyghur workers, many under coercive conditions, contribute to the solar industry’s supply chains. Although Wang clarifies that although this forced labor isn’t a main driver of solar’s low costs, it remains an ethical stain. Wang draws parallels between China’s treatment of Uyghur muslims and other atrocities against minorities by governments through history.

Despite these marks against China’s solar supply chain, the results of “involution capitalism” running its course in solar has been almost miraculous. Modules costing 80 cents per watt a decade ago now go for 10 cents. Economies of scale, relentless optimization, and fierce internal competition in China drive these savings.

“The reason why China is good at solar manufacturing is… akin to why China is good at metals and critical minerals: cheap energy and cheap feedstock.” – Seaver Wang

A connected scatterplot showing the cost of solar PV measured against cumulative installed capacity. Prices have fallen exponentially: by 20% for every doubling in installed capacity.
From Our World in Data

Its intermittency, low grid-firming abilities, and other challenges aside, solar power has undeniably reshaped global energy. But solar-maximalist visions, like those of nuclear advocates, can go too far. Solar enthusiasts speak of endless possibilities, even "energy too cheap to meter," recalling past nuclear-era promises. Yet Wang stresses realism. Massive battery deployments in places like California show solar’s growing flexibility, but crucial industrial processes still demand stable, constant power—often from coal or gas if nuclear remains unavailable.

Ultimately, solar’s rise challenges simplistic narratives. It’s neither purely clean nor purely compromised. Rather, solar represents the messy reality of energy transitions: enormous promise intertwined with ethical dilemmas, and technical and industrial challenges.

Listen to the full interview:

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Until next time.

Keywords

solar energy, polysilicon production, China solar industry, Energiewende, solar cost reduction, energy geopolitics, industrial scale manufacturing, battery storage, renewables, ethics

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